Disruptive Innovation (Worse is Better)
Tim Bray has problems with Erlang:
I’m done with beating my head against Erlang for now. If someone can show me how to make it read and pattern-match at a remotely competitive speed, I’ll be able actually to look at that nice concurrency stuff; and I’d like to.
Fortunately for Erlang, making improvements to the I/O and perhaps the regexp libraries should be a fair bit easier than making concurrency and distributed system improvements in other languages.
This has reminded me that Clay Christensen wrote, ten years ago, about Disruptive Technology:
“New market disruption” occurs when a product that is inferior by most measures of performance fits a new or emerging market segment. The Linux operating system (OS) when introduced was inferior in performance to other server operating systems like Unix and Windows NT. (...) After years of improvements in this easily available operating system, the functionality has improved so much that it threatens to displace the leading commercial UNIX distributions.
So we seem to have the ingredients here:
- A product that is inferior by most measures of performance (...)
- fitting a new or emerging market segment
- Easily available and easy to improve
This is the kind of Long Term Bets at play here. I think Tim Bray is not being fair comparing it with the nits you get from idiosyncratic old environments (yes, I suffered too till I learned that the emacsy CTRL-G q will quit erl, or the messy command line switches). Also, I don’t think Erlang aims to be a scripting language, like ruby, python, PHP, perl, but rather competes in the system languages league, like C/C++, java or C#.
I had read your post and forgot to link to it on the system language vs scripting, sorry about that.
Re: the character of a guess, it is a bet, of course. This is the reason why a linked to Sam Ruby’s Long bets. Erlang is significant in a couple of areas there:
- ejabberd is one of the dominants XMPP servers, and it is written in erlang. In fact this is what turned me into an erlang user, more than one year ago. I even needed to debug a build problem that crashed it, my first ever contact with erlang.
- CouchDB is also written in erlang, and it is an interesting implementation of a non-relational Document Base suitable for map/reduce type of computation.
- Erlang itself, being a functional, distributed language, is very suitable for map/reduce style computations, as Steve Vinoski remembers when turning inside out the log processing task coming from Tim Bray.
Erlang is then at the intersection of two core technologies for Sam. It is already serving me well, as I’ve never seen it give a single problem beyond the build issues (builtin vs dynlinked zlib in openssl). And the more I know about it the more I like it.
I’m not sure if it will be the Holy Grail of the next years, of course.
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I think I disagree. Part of disruptive innovations, or worse is better, is that they often serve to open up a field to new entrants who couldn’t afford the previous technology for some reason. Think Tk and Tcl - instead of programming with X libs, you could write GUIs in a simple scripting language, even though it was far slower and in some ways less powerful than C.
I mention a few points about things that will impede the spread of Erlang in a recent post:
[link]
I think the key thing to consider is that it does 2 things (concurrency, distributed) head and shoulders above the competition right now, and a lot of other things not so well. The question is: can someone else do a decent implementation of those features before Erlang catches up in other areas? I don’t have the answer, and while I like Erlang a lot, and actually use it professionally, I think it’s anyone’s guess.
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